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<b lang="rN8E"></b> 2024-12-14 12:30:20

Four people were injured when a bus in Jerusalem was shot, and four people were injured when a bus was shot at a tunnel checkpoint in the south of Jerusalem, one of whom was seriously injured.Standard & Poor's: It is expected that the rise of trade protectionism in major economies will damage the GDP growth of most emerging markets, but the impact will depend on specific policies. Central banks in emerging markets are expected to take a more cautious stance, but monetary easing will continue.On December 11th, the top 20 in US stock turnover: Tesla reached a new high, with Musk's net worth exceeding 400 billion US dollars. On Wednesday, Tesla, the first in US stock turnover, closed up 5.93%, and its share price reached a record high, with a turnover of 42.296 billion US dollars. The CEO of the company, Musk, became the first person in the world with a net worth of more than 400 billion US dollars, setting a new milestone for the richest man in the world. It is reported that the latest catalyst is SpaceX's internal stock sale transaction and Tesla's share price hit a new high, which increased Musk's net asset value by about 50 billion US dollars to 439.2 billion US dollars. (Global Market Broadcast)


SNB: It is estimated that the GDP of Switzerland will be about 1.0% in 2024 (previously predicted to be about 1.0%).CICC: The CPI of the United States rose as scheduled in November, but it did not hinder the interest rate cut. CICC released a research report saying that the CPI and core CPI of the United States both rose to 0.31% in November, which was basically in line with the market and its expectations. For the post-election policies, if the immigration and tariff policies are too radical, it will bring pressure to inflation at the end of next year, which will have an impact on the market and even the mid-term elections. Therefore, before the mid-term elections, due to the "realistic constraints" of inflation, the inflation policy will be faster, but the scope may be limited, while the growth policy will be faster, and then the overall assets will still be positive. According to the difference between the natural interest rate and the real interest rate, CICC estimates that after the interest rate cut in December, there may still be two or three interest rate cuts in 2025, with the end point of interest rate cut at 3.5-3.75% and the center corresponding to long-term US debt at 3.8-4%.Reminder: Please pay attention to the employment report of Australia in November (including the number of employed people and unemployment rate) at 08: 30 (Beijing time below); ② At 16: 30, the Swiss National Bank announced the interest rate resolution; ③ At 17: 00, the International Energy Agency (IEA) released the monthly crude oil market report; ④ 21:15 The European Central Bank announced the interest rate resolution (including main refinancing rate, deposit convenience rate and marginal lending rate); ⑤ PPI in November in the United States at 21: 30, and the number of people applying for unemployment benefits for the first time in the week of December 7; ⑥ 21:45 European Central Bank President Lagarde held a press conference; 7 Broadcom released its performance report after the US stock market closed.


Front page of securities daily: vigorously boosting consumption is the focus of current macro policy. The front page article of securities daily points out that consumption is the ballast stone for stable economic operation. In recent years, China has issued a series of policies to promote consumption, which has brought vitality to the consumer market; The rapid development of some emerging consumption patterns has brought new growth points to the consumer market. However, we must also see that residents' consumer confidence still needs to be enhanced. Therefore, it is necessary to take multiple measures simultaneously, constantly consolidate the foundation of consumption growth, enhance residents' willingness and ability to consume, and promote the sustained recovery of the consumer market. First, increase residents' income through multiple channels and improve their spending power. Income is the primary factor that determines consumption. With income, residents have the confidence to spend. Therefore, on the one hand, it is necessary to increase residents' property income through multiple channels and enhance residents' consumption ability and willingness; On the other hand, it is necessary to increase support for key groups and enhance the overall consumption capacity. Second, further support the trade-in of consumer goods. Third, promote the upgrading and expansion of service consumption.The rate of return of the money fund has reached a record low. Since December, the rate of return of the money fund has continued to decline. The annualized rate of return of Tianhong Yubao Money Fund, the largest, fell below 1.27% on the 7th, hitting a record low. According to industry insiders, the recently released "Self-discipline Initiative on Optimizing the Self-discipline Management of Non-bank Interbank Deposit Interest Rate" has a great impact on the Monetary Fund, and the superimposed interest rate is at a low level, and the yield of the Monetary Fund may continue to decline. As the income decreases, funds will look for new directions for allocation. (SSE)Guotai Junan: A shares are expected to go out of the New Year's market. Recently, Guotai Junan's 2025 strategy meeting will be held in Shenzhen. The conference made an in-depth discussion and comprehensive outlook on the hot topics of market concern and the investment strategy in 2025. Fang Yi, chief strategist of Guotai Junan, said in an interview that the bottom of the A-share market has emerged, which is optimistic about the prospects of China stock market. The key driving force for the market to start comes from the decline of risk-free interest rate and the boost of risk preference. After a long period of continuous adjustment, the pessimistic expectation and microstructure of A-shares are fully clarified, and the positive signal of decision-makers to steady economic growth and support the capital market is an important cornerstone for the upward revision of long-term expectations and the elevation of the bottom of the stock market. Looking forward to the A-share market in 2025, Fang Yi said that there is still room for the optimistic policy expectation at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, and A-shares are expected to go out of the New Year's market. However, in the case of rising geopolitical conflict risks, the stock index may face a staged headwind. However, as the market stabilizes and revises the economic and policy expectations, the stock index is expected to strengthen again in the second half of 2025. (shanghai securities news)

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